UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Alabama A&M
  
Alabama A&M           
W-L: ( 1- 6) PR = 89.5107

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 2- 9 221 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 11- 7 227 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 2-19 317 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 8-13 318 A South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 7-11 324 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 2-10 414 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 11-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 H Kennesaw State          2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.51
   221 A UL Monroe              11- 7       4    -6    +++    9.78
   227 H Notre Dame              2-19     -17    -6    ---   -8.29
   317 H South Florida           8-13      -5    -4          -0.61
   318 A South Carolina Upstate  7-11      -4    -6    +      2.13
   324 H Middle Tennessee        2-10      -8    -3    --    -4.75
   414 A Jacksonville State     11-15      -4    -8    ++     4.25

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Notre Dame              2-19     -17    -6    ---   -8.29
   324 H Middle Tennessee        2-10      -8    -3    --    -4.75
   217 H Kennesaw State          2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A UL Monroe              11- 7       4    -6    +++    9.78
   414 A Jacksonville State     11-15      -4    -8    ++     4.25
   318 A South Carolina Upstate  7-11      -4    -6    +      2.13

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Kennesaw State  (27-25, 94.7)     2- 9       -5.22      13.20      -0.68         4.13           -12.19
   3 A UL Monroe       (31-23, 94.6)    11- 7       -5.28      13.14       0.68         4.13           114.18
   3 H Notre Dame      (30-22, 95.9)     2-19       -4.01      14.42      -0.68         4.13            -9.67
   3 H South Florida   (30-22, 94.6)     8-13       -5.32      13.11      -0.68         4.13           -12.39
   3 A South Carolina  (14-15, 95.0)     7-11       -4.93      13.50       0.68         4.13            -8.79
   3 H Middle Tenness  (27-30, 93.4)     2-10       -6.47      11.96      -0.68         4.13           -14.76
   3 A Jacksonville S  (47-18, 97.1)    11-15       -2.82      15.61       0.68         4.13            -4.42
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        51.96

winning pts = 114.1795 losing points = -62.2147

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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